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Russia vs Ukraine

D0GMATIC

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Based on the fact the U.S. hasn't stormed in to "liberate" the Ukraine or give them "freedom" ,im guessing this is just the Ukraine having to fight a proxy war for uncle sam. There were 2 explosions of Russian oil/petrol storage facilities yesterday that no one has claimed responsibility for. I bet the bridge between Crimea and Russia is attacked sooner or later mysteriously too.
The U.S. was spending more than 100 billion a year to unsuccessfully fight the Taliban, who aren't nearly the military power the Ruskis are.
The 3.something billion they have given Ukraine in "Aid" in 2 months is a small price to pay for someone else to do the dirty work against thier cold war adversary
 

Bob dog

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Based on the fact the U.S. hasn't stormed in to "liberate" the Ukraine or give them "freedom" ,im guessing this is just the Ukraine having to fight a proxy war for uncle sam. There were 2 explosions of Russian oil/petrol storage facilities yesterday that no one has claimed responsibility for. I bet the bridge between Crimea and Russia is attacked sooner or later mysteriously too.
The U.S. was spending more than 100 billion a year to unsuccessfully fight the Taliban, who aren't nearly the military power the Ruskis are.
The 3.something billion they have given Ukraine in "Aid" in 2 months is a small price to pay for someone else to do the dirty work against thier cold war adversary
I like the Trump interview, the Russians should of been threatened before this started.
The U.S has more firepower.
 

D0GMATIC

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I like the Trump interview, the Russians should of been threatened before this started.
The U.S has more firepower.
You won't intimidate a bully with diplomacy or common sense but a couple on the chin or on the nose is the language they understand
 

Doogie

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I like the Trump interview, the Russians should of been threatened before this started.
The U.S has more firepower.
Yes - see below the moment.

1650970587076.png


Trump said I'll thumb wrestle you for Ukraine sovereignty. Putin said - yep - I'm in. As they went in for the grip, Putin did the sly tuck move (yes, we've all done that at some point). With no thumb to pin, of course its a draw. And in true Trump style, he claimed a victory that he didn't even win.

International diplomacy at its best.
 

south of heaven

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Vladimir Putin has warned he will use nuclear weapons against the West if anyone interferes in Ukraine.
Better hope they are better than your shit box tanks and trucks, press the button the things back fire in the silo
 

Hacky McAxe

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Some explosions went off in Moldova as an apparent act of terrorism. Russian separatists immediately blamed Ukraine, Moldova said that it was Russian spec ops.

It's looking likely that Russia is planning a move to invade Moldova next.
 

Doogie

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Some explosions went off in Moldova as an apparent act of terrorism. Russian separatists immediately blamed Ukraine, Moldova said that it was Russian spec ops.

It's looking likely that Russia is planning a move to invade Moldova next.
Transdniestria - which is basically Russian. Gives them an excuse to attack Ukraine from the other side. Or, Ukraine ops took out the radio towers to hinder Russian comms.

Personally think its same/same. If its a black flag, well given whats happened, as if they need a reason. And if its an Ukrainian, think its reasonable that a country invaded by Russia attacks Russian assets in basically Russian satellite states.
 

Realist90

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Lol the amount of fake news coming out of Ukraine that’s been propagated by the left as fact Is a joke and why people who are so staunchly for Ukraine and staunchly opposed to Russia are being played like the female World Cup soccer team by an under 16 male team.
 

ASSASSIN

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Lol the amount of fake news coming out of Ukraine that’s been propagated by the left as fact Is a joke and why people who are so staunchly for Ukraine and staunchly opposed to Russia are being played like the female World Cup soccer team by an under 16 male team.
I dont believe ANY propaganda from both sides. I don't think we have heard even one piece of truth about this bullshit war.
 

Hacky McAxe

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Lol the amount of fake news coming out of Ukraine that’s been propagated by the left as fact Is a joke and why people who are so staunchly for Ukraine and staunchly opposed to Russia are being played like the female World Cup soccer team by an under 16 male team.
Yep. Definite propaganda going on but the facts are pretty clear. Russia invaded another country and claimed they were doing it to "stop genocide" and "hunt Nazis"

I think Russia's propaganda trumps some fake story about a Ukrainian pilot.
 

steeliz

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Link: Explainer: Russia swerves to avoid default: what is next? | Reuters


Russia may have averted default as it announced it had made several overdue payments in dollars on its overseas bonds, shifting the market's focus to upcoming payments and whether it would stave off a historic default.

Russia's $40 billion in international bonds and the chance of a default have become the focus of global financial markets since it was hit with sanctions from the United States and its allies after its invasion of Ukraine in late February.


Dubbed a "special military operation" by Russia, the invasion has turned Russia into a pariah, including in financial markets, and has entangled its ability to pay its debts. read more

The chance of default dramatically increased in early April when the United States stopped the Russian government from using frozen reserves to pay some $650 million to its bondholders. read more

With the end of a grace period on those payments looming, Russia's finance ministry said on Friday it had paid, in dollars, $564.8 million of coupon and redemption obligations on a bond maturing in 2022 and a coupon payment of $84.4 million on another due in 2042.


The announcement surprised markets that had been gearing up for a default at the end of the grace period on Wednesday, which would have been Russia's largest major external default in over a century.

The Russian finance ministry announced it paid nearly $650 million it owed holders of two of its dollar bonds. Two creditors told Reuters they had not yet seen the money in their accounts, but a senior U.S. government official confirmed that the payments had been made and that the source appeared to be outside the limits of the current sanctions.


The Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee, representing major global banks and asset managers, met on Friday and acknowledged the reports of Russia's payments, but nonetheless made plans for a credit default swap auction next week "solely in order to prepare for the possibility of a Failure to Pay Credit Event."

Russian bond prices jumped higher according to traders, in some cases by 15 cents, nearly doubling in price. Bonds of major still-unsanctioned companies such as Gazprom, Lukoil and telecoms firm VimpelCom were quoted up 2-5 cents too.

Insurance against Russia's default got less expensive, with five-year credit default swaps (CDS) linked to Russia’s sovereign debt down to 64.333% upfront from 76.4% upfront on Thursday, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence.

If Friday's announced payments clear, attention will shift to two events at the end of May:

1) Transactions between U.S. persons and Russia's finance ministry, central bank or national wealth fund are only allowed under a temporary license issued by the U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) that will expire on May 25. The U.S. Treasury has not commented on whether that deadline will be extended. read more

2) Russia faces coupon payments due on May 27 on a dollar bond issued in 2016 and an euro bond issued in 2021.

The payment on the euro bond could be done in rouble as a last resort, but the dollar bond does not have that provision.

The bonds related to the April 4 payment did not include rouble payments as an option, which was key in determining that a "potential failure to pay" had occurred when Russia tried to pay in rouble.

If last week's payments clear, Russia's international bond payment obligations through the end of the year are about $2 billion.

Prior to the Ukraine crisis roughly $20 billion, or half the outstanding foreign currency issuance, was held by investment funds and money managers outside Russia.

The threat of Russian default is peculiar in that Moscow is expected to have the funds to pay its obligations. The fact that some of its sources are frozen or under sanctions boils it down to Moscow's willingness to pay from other cash sources, rather than its ability to do so.

Only half of Russia's over $600 billion of foreign reserves was frozen as a result of the sanctions.

Even as Europe has pledged to diversify its energy purchases, Russia has gotten this year, on average, close to $1 billion a day in revenue from sales of oil, coal and gas.
 

steeliz

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And now the Russians are struggling to pay their bills.
 

Doogie

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Hilarious.
Whats more important is this could cause friction between Belarus and Russia. Apparently the Belarus president wanted some quality JD ride ons and was promised accordingly by Putin. Coz as we know - nothing is more important in Belarus than a tractor. To offset suspicion, they were shipped via Chechnya and are now blah. Now with the embargos in place, Putin cannot deliver some ride ons and also cannot buy any to replace these.

This could be the start of the end of the Russian - Belarussian clique.
 
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