Penrith's defence will be nothing like the holes Eels have encountered over the last month. With up to 12 players back and hosting a home Final at BlueBet Stadium they'll be too strong for the Eels.
Sharks at home should beat the Cowboys.
Both these teams have had dream season in that they've had fewer injuries than most and they've been favoured by the seasonal draw in that they didn't have to play a lot of the top teams twice as some of the lower teams had to. There's nowhere for them to hide now but I tip Sharks at home although Cowboys have had a good record away this year, they haven't won at Pointsbet in a very long time. Talakai injury does give the Cowboys a rough hope if he doesn't play which seems highly likely as his aggravated an old injury. It's very hard for an away team to win at PointsBet. Not impossible, being a finals game, but highly unlikely.
I'm tipping Canberra to beat Storm who have been very brave but have had a horror run with injuries, which I think is now catching up with them. Raiders have won their last 4 games against the Storm in Melbourne and are a team that is playing with a lot of confidence and are one team most others will be dreading to face.
Roosters V Souths, you can never be confident with these two clubs. Rorters are playing as well as any team in the competition, but have they played their GF early, they have a few injury concerns now but do get a few injured players back including Sua'ali'li, Radley and Tupou. Souths are hopeful of Murray playing but do get Damien Cook back. Prior to last Friday's game Souths had won their previous 4 games against the Rorters.
Rorters are playing with a lot of confidence, but Souths can win with a more focused and determined Latrell, Cook back and hopefully for their sake Murray as well.