Dragons is an absolute must win
Knights x2 without Ponga (if he is also out this week) we should be winning
Tigers 60/40 if we play to our potential
Raiders will be tough
Penrith no chance
this puts us at 6 wins (12 + 3 byes = 18pts) with another 11 games to go and would leave us needing 6 out of those last 11 to hit 30pts for the 8.
dare to dream?
I reckon we have a chance against Raiders. They have lost Fogarty and Rapana and will have rookies for half their spin. Don't have an established hooker. Though have a good forward pack. Especially if Whitehead and Horsborough come back.
I reckon the way the Tigers and Dragons are playing where in with a shot with these as well. But its after our 2nd bye from rd 16 we have 3 games before our 3rd bye against Roosters away and then at home to Warriors and Sharks.
So between the 2nd and 3rd byes is a potential 10 points. We will get 4 but we need to win at least one of these games. I think maybe the warriors maybe winable looking what the Titans done today.
If we win one of the three games we will be on 20 points going into round 20. That means winning 5 of our last 8 games. Last 8 games are not too bad. Only Broncos and Warriors away are hard. The rest are bottom 8 sides apart from Phins and Manly but we play them at home and who knows by then if they are stll in the top 8.
So I think we need to go on a winning streak up to Raiders and this will give us breathing space lol. Cause I reckon its going to be a sh** fight for the 8. Its good we can score now and have good defence as I reckon the points difference is going to be vital.