Thanks for picking up on the discussion.Nothing much in sporting contests is certain (or even nearly certain), hence why I relied on this year's history to determine my vote. Undeniably 2 of the teams in the 8 currently have a losing record, also they are in the 8 having only won 8 games out of 18 so far.
You did ask what teams we might well finish ahead of in 2022, my guesses;
Donkey's - they have salary cap issues up the wazoo, still paying for multiple players at other clubs, can't be fixed in 1 year. As a bonus a lot of players that might have previously automatically gravitated to the only club in Brisbane will have options at the end of next year. + their current coach.
Sharks - lost their best player in Johnson, won several games this year solely on him. + their new coach in his first year.
Dragons - disarray in their leadership, administration & resulting Cap issues, lost their captain. + their current coach
Knights - everything, disinterested players, injury prone strike players (Ponga & Best) + their current coach.
Warriors - lost their best, by a mile, player and may still be travel affected. + their current coach
Tigers - total mess in the back office, still fractured between the West factions and Tigers factions. That's stopping them attracting decent players, not the coach.
Cowboys - they have been farked without JT and will remain so, with the other JT another year older.
Titans - still rebuilding, badly need a spine upgrade.
Always a Bulldog
Broncos have shown more improvement than us recently and they've got Reynolds (and Capewell) coming who in theory will fix more than 1 of their problems. They have a more talented roster than us. If we're saying Broncos are a mess so are we. There are a lot of bad teams but we're one of them, and currently the worst of them all (JAC, Burton and TPJ are good signings but is it enough? I can't say it is).Thanks for picking up on the discussion.
I think you've picked out a pretty likely group of 8. In terms of teams in your list who could make that 7th or 8th spot, I think Sharks, Titans, and Knights are better chances than we are. Even though they have some changes happening, at this stage their 2022 season is subject to a good deal less variance than ours is. I see Cowboys in a similar position to us, they have some new players coming that they are hoping will bring something, and a 2nd year coach who has now had a good look at what is happening for the team. Tigers won't make the 8, but I'm not assuming we'll beat them when we face them next season. Dragons, Warriors, Donks, are all a mess.
That is based on how things currently stand, of course. Another clutch signing or two by any of those teams changes the way things look, as does a major off field indiscretion.
In terms of who else might get worse, at the moment I'm thinking the Raiders might be another possible.
Based on what you say, that makes sense. However, that was mostly true over the last two seasons as well, the Bonks have not been wanting for talent. If their performance has been impacted by backroom dramas, as many suspect, there is no indication that anything is changing much in that regard for 2022.Broncos have shown more improvement than us recently and they've got Reynolds (and Capewell) coming who in theory will fix more than 1 of their problems. They have a more talented roster than us. If we're saying Broncos are a mess so are we. There are a lot of bad teams but we're one of them, and currently the worst of them all (JAC, Burton and TPJ are good signings but is it enough? I can't say it is).
I think Ben Ikin is a massive signing for them too (they also got Dave Donaghy from the Storm). Not as good as Gould but it's up there.Based on what you say, that makes sense. However, that was mostly true over the last two seasons as well, the Bonks have not been wanting for talent. If their performance has been impacted by backroom dramas, as many suspect, there is no indication that anything is changing much in that regard for 2022.
For us, we know changes have happened.
Ben Ikin might work out, but I don't feel he has enough runs on the board to be a given. Donaghy is a good signing from the point of view he knows how to operate in a one team town. However, Brisbane is a very different situation from Melbourne, and in terms of leading a struggling organisation he has no experience at all. He took over at Storm in 2015... so he is an unknown for me.I think Ben Ikin is a massive signing for them too (they also got Dave Donaghy from the Storm). Not as good as Gould but it's up there.
Yep, to me it all hinges on the coach. I think our squad is good enough to make the bottom part of the 8. It’s up to Baz. A bottom 4 finish will mean he doesn’t cut it as a first grade coach. He will have a half decent side to at least be a mid table team pushing for the 8. Even Bennett made the Dragons a powerhouse with an average spine except for Boyd. I wouldn’t call Dean Young, Hornby and Soward as great spine players, but what he did he coached them to their strengths. The ball is in Baz’s court.I like the look of our team for 2022. I think the players we have bought will make our existing players look better too. Yes an ace halfback and hooker would be brilliant but if nothing else I'd say our cap is mostly spent now and the balance of next years squad will need to be close to minimum wage. My fear is that our coach is a dud. Will our defence be that much better next year? Why? Will our attack be capable of scoring 30 odd points each game? Our coach is my concern. I haven't liked what I've seen this year. If our coach doesn't get a lot more out of every player next year then we hardly improve from this seasons spoon. It's up to you Trent. The squad we've assembled is a fringe 8 squad. So what will you achieve with it? I say we don't make the 8 next year.