Sunday, Mt Smart Stadium, 2pm
Referees: Jason Robinson, Gerard Sutton
Head to head: Bulldogs 12 Warriors 10, Drawn 2
Last clash: Warriors 40 bt Bulldogs 20 at ANZ Stadium (Rd 19, 2008)
TAB Sportsbet: Warriors $1.40, Bulldogs $2.90
FootyTAB: Bulldogs by +7.5 points
The Bulldogs have had good luck all season when it comes to player unavailability. They have rarely had more than one or two regulars they couldn't call on. But their luck has run out this week, with Brett Kimmorley, Michael Ennis and Josh Morris out because of State of Origin, Ben Hannant and Jamal Idris out injured and Greg Eastwood and Bryson Goodwin out suspended. Now we will find out how much quality of depth they have. The Warriors have lost their captain, Steve Price, to Origin, and Brent Tate remains on the long-term injured list, but they get powerhouse winger Manu Vatuvei back after injury forced him out of last weekend's loss to the Broncos.
The Warriors have been a real Jekyll-and-Hyde outfit recently. Good at home, bad away. They have shut the opposition out to win their last two home games, 14-0 over the Tigers and 13-0 over the Knights, but have lost their last five away games. So they will obviously appreciate going back home. But the Bulldogs have done well at Mt Smart in recent years, winning on four of their last five trips there. The plus for the Bulldogs could be that, although they are down on playmakers and strike players out wide, if they defend as strongly as they are known to be able to they will still put themselves in with a genuine chance of winning this game, because the Warriors don't score a lot of points at the best of times. The Warriors have averaged 15.2 points per game this season, which is the lowest in the NRL. The Warriors deserve favouritism at home, but the Bulldogs have got a shot at it.
WARRIORS: Wade McKinnon, Kevin Locke, Jerome Ropati, Joel Moon, Manu Vatuvei, Lance Hohaia, Stacey Jones, Russell Packer, Ian Henderson, Sam Rapira, Simon Mannering, Lewis Brown, Micheal Luck (capt). Interchange: Aaron Heremaia, Jesse Royal, Ben Matulino, Jacob Lillyman, Ukuma Ta'ai. (One to be omitted).
BULLDOGS: Luke Patten, Hazem El Masri, Daryl Millard, Matt Utai, Bryson Goodwin, Ben Roberts, Daniel Holdsworth, Jarrad Hickey, Michael Sullivan, Michael Hodgson, Gary Warburton, Andrew Ryan (capt), David Stagg. Interchange: Brad Morrin, Chris Armit, Yileen Gordon, Greg Eastwood.