I think your problem may well be that the average ($9.6m / 30) = $320k is not the average for the 17/19 NRL level players, it also includes their backups AND the back ups to the back ups. The average regular NRL player is on more than $320k.
Crichton for example is a backup to the back up, hence why his contract is well below the average, in fact on the minimum. That’s why using him as an example is meaningless, we can’t save money replacing him AND his replacement would still be the back up to the back up.
Moving on to CSmith, he was a back up to the back up last year, he only got game time due to injuries to Elliott, Stimson , etc. He was signed as a NSW Cup Player, ie; a back up, and his contract value reflects that. He’s an experienced forward at 27 and as such can fill in quite capably, as he has done when required. He was injured playing in the Indigenous All Stars game last year, so he’s not exactly a hack. Using him as an example is equally meaningless, we wouldn’t save much if anything replacing him and having an experienced forward back up is a part of balance required of the 30.
Picking random players from outside the 17/19 and saying that they are overpaid is nothing more than poor quality guessing, the fact is we don’t know whether they are or not. Then guessing that we could get a better replacement for less (less that what?) is even poorer. The fact is back ups are required, some of them will be young guys that are maybe on the way up and some are experienced players that can fill in when required.
What you are doing is using a guessed contract value for the existing player, then using an even more guessed contract vale for their mysterious replacement and then using what is now a double guessed amount “saved” to support the guessed contract value of a third player who happens to be on today’s wish list. That’s 3 guesses which leaves a huge margin for error, which makes it nothing more than a fanciful exercise, which can be fun, but shouldn’t be treated too seriously.
Go Dogs